There are likely more than a few O's fans who used the Birds' recent winning streak as a way to re-convince themselves this is the year Baltimore nips that nasty little run of 9 straight losing seasons. Well, Birdbrains, welcome back to reality. Your team isn't that good. Miguel Tejada isn't going to go yard in every one of your remaining games, and this isn't the year you break .500.
They took 2 of 3, at home, from Oakland, swept the Royals in KC, and took game one of a four-game set in Los Angeles to win a season-high 6 straight and to pull to .500. They allowed 12 runs in those 6 games, and scored 40 runs. Then came the last three games of the LA series. Now they're back to 3 games below and have King Felix in Seattle tonight.
They need to go 55-50 the rest of the way to break the streak and they have a decent chance to grab a few of those wins their next three series, with sets against Seattle, Colorado, and Washington. But then things get awfully tough before (and after) the All-Star break. They have a home and home with Arizona, they go to San Diego, host LA, the Yanks, and visit the White Sox before a series at Texas. My guess is they win about 13 times in those 31 games (with most coming against their first three opponents). That would put their record at 40-48 at the break, meaning they would need to win 42 of their 74 games in the second half , where they have 28 games (38% of their schedule) against the Red Sox, Angels, and Yankees.
Yes, O's fans enjoy the next 9 games because it gets a whole lot tougher from there on out. Then again, there's always next year.
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2 comments:
Is this post directed at my mother?
This is the third time you've pulled this little stunt (see here and here). Get some new material.
Funny how both of those times, the O's needed to go 6 over .500 to have a winning record. And, shockingly enough, isn't that what they need at this point too?
They've still played the 4th hardest schedule in the league. And their peripherals (one-run record, R's scored vs R's against) still point to the team being a .500 club.
Could they finish 79-83? Certainly. Will they finish 70-92 like last year? Not a chance they'll be that bad.
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