Sunday, December 2, 2007

The $antana $weepstakes Part II

The gauntlet has been thrown down and the Red Sox have answered, now saying they will include speedster Jacoby Ellsbury in a deal for Johan Santana. But interestingly, the Sox are not willing to deal Ellsbury and pitcher Jon Lester in the same trade. The Sox had previously put Lester and Coco Crisp in a package offer that also included a minor leaguer, but understandably, the Twins want Ellsbury. Coupled with the newly-acquired Delmon Young, Ellsbury would give Minnesota a really talented, really young outfield.

Now, the question becomes, whose offer is better? Is it New York's with Phil Hughes, Melky Cabrera, and others? Is it Boston's with Ellsbury, a pitcher, and others? Or are they better off seeing what else is out there?

Personally, I think there are advantages and disadvantages to both deals. If the Twins go with New York's offer, they can potentially replace one ace with another, and pick up a solid defensive outfielder too, shifting Young to right. But if they go with Boston's, they will have an offense that's arguably the best in the AL Central with Ellsbury setting the table for the likes of Mauer, Morneau, Cuddyer and Young. The only downside is, they will have traded their two best starting pitchers to do it and without getting much in big-league-ready-pitching in return.

The one thing I don't see happening is Minnesota holding onto Santana, because once the season starts, I doubt they'll get many offers with this much young talent.

1 comment:

Unknown said...

How do the Red Sox not upgrade their offer here? Suppose that the Twins come to them and say, "We're taking the Yankees' offer today unless it's Ellsbury and Lester." How do the Red Sox:

A - Fail to get Santana
B - Allow him to go to the one team in their division that has hope of competing with them over the next three years.

Are the Red Sox really going to allow both of those things to come to pass because of the difference between Lester and their 3rd best pitching prospect?

But maybe Boss Jr will let them off the hook of that decision. I doubt the Twins are going to be pressured into any of this 24-hour nonsense on December 3rd.

Or maybe this will be just like when th Yankees wouldn't negotiate with ARod after he opted out.