Sunday, August 26, 2007

First Team, All-Disappointment

Yes, most teams will only have about 30 games left after this weekend. But it probably doesn't matter what these guys do the rest of the way. Their '07 seasons were nothing short of hugely disappointing for the fantasy owners who picked them.

Catcher - Brian McCann (.276, 15, 76)
Don't get me wrong, these aren't bad numbers for a catcher. But considering he went .333, 24, 93 last season (in only about 40 more at-bats than he has right now), this is a major let-down. Plus he's striking out more, walking less, his OBP is down 65 points, and his SLG is down 110 points. Perhaps people anointed him the next Mike Piazza a bit too soon. And Joe Mauer isn't too far behind in this category either, but in his defense, he's been hurt.

First Base - Carlos Delgado (.245, 18, 70)
On pace to post career worsts in just about every offensive category, despite hitting in one of baseball's best lineups. Streak of 10 straight seasons of 30+ homeruns is almost a lock to be broken.

Second Base - Marcus Giles (.229, 4, 38, 10 steals)
Remember when he was a top-tier second sacker? Just two years ago he hit .291, went 15-15 and scored 104 runs. Not any more. His brotherly reunion with Brian in San Diego has the Pads wishing they had Sandy and Roberto Alomar instead.

Shortstop - Rafael Furcal (.279, 5, 43, 13 steals)
There must be something about former Atlanta infielders this season. He started the season banged up and I have to wonder if he's been playing at about 80% ever since. The 13 steals is tied for 48th best in baseball, behind speedsters like Rajai Davis (he was sent to the Giants from Pittsburgh in the Matt Morris deal), Nick Punto, and Willie Harris.

Third Base - Alex Gordon (.244, 11, 42, 13 steals)
Not a terrible season for the average rookie, but for Gordon, who drew preaseason comparisons to a young A-Rod, these numbers simply won't do. A .173 April followed by a .195 May certainly didn't help. Former third base fantasy cornerstones Scott Rolen and Eric Chavez also get honorable mentions in this category. How the mighty have fallen.

Outfield #1 - Vernon Wells (.259, 15, 74)
Wells may be one of the most unpredictable fantasy players in the game, considering this is the second time since 2003 he's likely to go from a .300+, 30+, 105+ season down to a sub-.275, sub-25, sub-90 year. He is tied for 12th in baseball in doubles, and may still score 100 runs, so a better 2008 could be in the forecast. But his OPS (.745) is lower than Mark Ellis, Shannon Stewart, and teammate Aaron Hill right now, so who knows.

Outfield #2- Andruw Jones (.221 ,24, 83)
He turned 30 at the beginning of the season, yet his homerun totals are going to drop for the third straight year and he's probably going to post a career-worst batting average (he hit .231 in his first full season, 10 years ago). With a .263 career mark, Jones has never pretended to be a high average hitter, but he has the 5th lowest batting average in all of baseball in 2007 and with a .241 August, isn't showing any real signs of turning this thing around.

Outfield #3 - Johnny Damon (.266, 8, 47, 20 steals)
Interestingly Wells, Jones, and Damon are #'s 129, 130, and 131 in baseball in OPS right now and Carlos Delgado is #128. Damon, like Furcal, probably hasn't been playing at 100% for too many games this season, but you have to be really bad to be the Yankees' leadoff hitter and not score 100 runs. If he doesn't, that would break a 9-year streak, and that includes time he spent with the Kansas City Royals.

Designated Hitter - Travis Hafner (.253, 18, 72)
Like Jones, he turned 30 this season. Like Delgado, his numbers are inexplicably down across the board, with the exception of walks. He's only on pace to hit 23 homeruns, 22 doubles, and drive in 93. Last year, in just 31 more at-bats than he has now, he hit 42, 31, and drove in 117. His OPS, which had gone way up for 3 straight years, could fall an unthinkable 300 points in 2007.

Starting Pitcher #1 - Bronson Arroyo (7-13, 4.55 ERA)
He's third in the National League in losses, he's allowing almost 3 baserunners every 2 innings, and more than an earned run every two innings. His ERA is up a run and a quarter from last year, and he's on pace to walk a career high in hitters, while averaging almost 2 fewer hitters retired, per start.

Starting Pitcher #2 - Barry Zito (9-11, 4.74 ERA)
He is 5th in the league in walks, and is likely to see his strikeout total drop for a third straight year. He also has just 13 quality starts in 26 chances, although he has put together a string of 3 straight. All this, after signing the richest contract in pitching history.

Starting Pitcher #3 - Felix Hernandez (10-6, 3.90 ERA)
For a guy who allowed 8 baserunners, 0 runs, and struck out 18 in his first 17 innings of the season, these numbers are a huge letdown, considering it's almost September. He's had just 9 quality starts in 21 tries since then, and he's not on pace to improve all that much from a year ago. His WHIP is actually higher and his batting average against is up more than 25 points. I know he's just 21, but the title of "King" was bestowed a bit too early, in my opinion.

Relief Pitcher - Take Your Pick!
BJ Ryan, Huston Street, Tom Gordon, Chris Ray, Mike Gonzalez and Brett Myers have all had injury-plagued seasons, while Bob Wickman, Brian Fuentes, Armando Benitez, Jorge Julio, Solomon Torres, Brad Lidge, Dan Wheeler, and Akinori Otsuka all lost their jobs (Lidge is the only one to get it back). And you wonder why some people just punt saves every year.

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