Monday, April 23, 2007

Three Weeks In

Whether you're a real manager or a fantasy baseball manager, I think the worst thing you can do at this point is panic, like using your ace to bolster a struggling bullpen. But at the same time, now that most teams have played 17 or 18 games, I think it's time to face some facts.

#1 The Yankees are not in the Red Sox league, yet
Fresh off a three-game-sweep of the Bombers, it's evident Boston is the far superior team. The Sox have the best winning percentage in baseball and Manny isn't hitting, yet (although last night was a good start). Meantime, it's a miracle if New York's bullpen phone doesn't ring before the fifth. They need their starters back soon.

#2 The Braves are back
Thanks to a resurgent Tim Hudson and a dynamite bullpen (Wickman, Villarreal, Gonzalez, Paronto), the Braves look like they just might be able to hang with the Mets, at least for now. What's scary is that Andruw Jones and Jeff Francoeur haven't done much of anything yet.

#3 The AL West is wide open
I'll admit I thought the Angels were going to run away with this one, but so far the Halos have stumbled out of the gate (9-9) and the main reason is, they're not hitting. They've only scored 65 runs so far. Only the Mariners (in 4 fewer games), Nationals, Cardinals, Pirates and Giants have scored fewer. None of those other teams look like post-season contenders yet, and if LA doesn't want to join them on the golf course in October, they'd better pick it up. Luckily, they still have a diesel starting rotation now that Colon is back, so they might be able to win a whole lot of 3-2 games.

#4 The Nationals are bad, and getting worse
6-13, second fewest runs scored in baseball, second most runs allowed in baseball, and I bet you can't name 3 of their pitchers. Poor, poor Manny Acta.

#5 The NL Central is also wide open
I know it's early, but the Cardinals look like shadows of their former selves. The Astros and Reds closer situations scare me. Pittsburgh has no business winning the division, the Cubs suffer a new injury every day. That leaves the Brew Crew. This team hasn't been to the post-season since 1982. Is this the year?

4 comments:

Unknown said...

What? No mention of the O's?

Sure they got thumped in Minnesota to start the year. Since then, they:

- Went 3-3 against good competition (Yankees and Tigers)
- Took 5 of 6 from bad teams (KC and Tampa)
- And then came home and dismantled the Blue Jays

11-4 since that opening series. Only Boston is hotter in the AL at this point. Is it possible that they're the third best team in the AL East? I think so.

Sure we'll know more after this week (when they get the A's, Red Sox and Indians), but I think this team might be better than even I thought.

Baseblogger said...

Well, tonight they're facing a team that can't hit (Oakland) and throwing their best starter (Bedard). Yet, they're getting smoked.

Off to a good start? Yes.

Third best team in the AL East? Maybe.

Third best team in the AL? Hardly.

David said...

I like the Brewers to win the NL Central. The Phillies are an absolute mess, and will remain so until Charlie Manuel gets canned. The Yankees will be just fine once the rotation is healthy; they're going to score 1100 runs. Oh, and the Orioles might be the third best team in the AL East, Matthew, but that it will still get them a seat on the couch for the playoffs after they finish 15 games behind the Yanks and Sox.

Mike said...

Everybody's picking the Brewers. I hope that's right, it would be nice to see them mix it up a bit, like the Tigers did last year.

I'm also rooting for the Astros to be competitive that way Clemens can be part of a pennant race from home.